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Irish shoppers should brace for further grocery price increases over the coming months, according to ifac's Head of Public Sector Services and Economics, Karol Kissane, speaking on Newstalk Breakfast this week.
Cost shocks typically take six to eight months to filter through from farm to shelf, and with this summer's drought conditions now several months old, that window has already opened.
Karol pointed to fertiliser costs and drought impact as recurring concerns being raised across ifac's 30,000-strong client base, with price rises expected to continue right through to January 2027.
Adding to the pressure, tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are pushing up costs further at farm level. The knock-on effects aren't confined to one part of the food chain either. Crop growth and oil supplies across Europe are all affected, meaning no sector is likely to be shielded from the impact.
The scale of the increase is significant.
A weekly grocery shop that cost approximately €150 in 2021 could reach €230–240 by early 2027, a rise of roughly 50% compared to pre-2022 levels.
As farmers absorb rising input costs from fertiliser to fuel, those pressures are increasingly working their way through to consumers, reinforcing the tight link between farm-level economics and the price of the weekly shop.
Listen to the full conversation with Anton Savage, Newstalk Breakfast.
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